Napovednik finala RWC: Aussie vs. Kiwi
V soboto, 31.10.2015 je na sporedu veliko finale svetovnega prvenstva v ragbiju. Kot so mnogi napovedovali in pričakovali se bosta v finalu pomerili reprezentanci Nove Zelandije in Avstralije. Gre za dvoboj starih znancev in velikih rivalov, tako da lahko pričakujemo spektakularno finalno tekmo na Twickenhamu. Tekma bo posebna tudi zaradi dejtva, da bo to zadnja tekma v reprezentančnih dresih za nekaj največjih igralcev ragbija v zgodovini (McCaw, Carter, Smith C., Mealamu, M Nonu).
Pred finalom smo pripravili nekaj vprašanj na katere sta nam odgovore podala novozelandec Andrew Fenton in avstralec Scott Jewell. Andrew Fenton(NZ) je selektor slovenske reprezentance in trener RK Ljubljane, Scott Jewell pa deluje v RK ljubljani kot trener mladinske selekcije U16 ter kot igralec članske ekipe.
Finalno tekmo si lahko ob 17.00 ur ogledate v naši družbi v Špotnem baru Lepa Žoga, kjer bodo ob 13.00 ure naprej potekale tudi prezentacije ragbija za otroke na pravem mini ragbi igrišču (več informacij v povezavi na dnu članka).
(op.p.: odgovorov nismo prevajali v slovenski jezik, saj bi se s prevodom izgubilo bistvo povedanega):
1. Strengths and weaknesses of your team
All Blacks at the moment are really a complete team, with no real weaknesses. In terms of where they might hold an edge over Australia, I think they will look to dominate set piece - especially the line out. The ability of the All Blacks to play several different styles and to comfortably change game plan at any stage will be a key factor. They have an incredible self-belief regardless of the game situation, and will "stay in the moment" more effectively. Much has been made of Australia's tougher matches throughout the tournament, but with the exception of Scotland (possibly the weakest of 'major' countries) their opponents have all played very poorly - so it is hard to gauge the progress made.
The Aussie back row is quite rightly being championed for their efforts, and they will look to isolate All Black runners and try to get Pocock and Hooper on the ball (where these 2 have been so impressive) - but again, the whole picture is a little different with the All Blacks collectively winning 50 turnovers so far to Australia's 37. Ultimately, I expect the All Blacks to be more physical and certain.
I believe that our strengths out way our weaknesses but in saying that I fully expect NZ to target our weaknesses.
- Belief instilled by Cheika in the team,
- Renewed cohesion as a team instead of individuals,
- Scrambling defence, and
- Positional depth.
- Line outs,
- Kick chase,
- Overall physicality but it is on the improve.
2. Players to watch in final
Australians: Obviously 6,7,8! But also Steven Moore and Matt Giteau will have major influence.
All Blacks: 1-23. McCaw is still the first player any team would pick if they could, and expect Dan Carter and Ma'a Nonu to show their class. Milner-Skudder to provide the electricity, and Ben Smith the wow. if the All Blacks are to win though, it will be the ugly buggers up front that do the work - Whitelock, Retallick, and Kaino.
Players to watch in the Australian team are obviously the back row Fardy, Hooper and Pocock. Also the workhorse in Kane Douglas. I would expect Matt Giteau to fire if fully fit.
Players to watch in the All Blacks are obviously Richie McCaw and Dan Carter but I like the 2nd Rowers, Brodie Retallick and Sam Whitelock. I also think Aaron Smith can ignite something special.
3. Which player on your team impressed you the most during RWC
Milner-Skudder's been the spark. Kaino's last match against South Africa was phenomenal (except for a very stupid yellow card), as was Ben Smith. Without playing badly, still waiting for Savea to fire, and Aaron Smith is also yet to show his class.
Every Australian knows how important Dave Pocock is and how he can turn games with his turn overs however I think that Scott Fardy has had an excellent world cup and has been quietly going about his job in great fashion bringing physicality and creating turnovers.
4. Your prediction
These 2 teams know each other so well, and both so dangerous with ball in hand... I think it will be 1 or 2 simple errors that will break the game open for either team. Australia are not scared of NZ, and are playing with amazing confidence. While I think (and hope!) All Blacks will be too strong everywhere, and too experienced to miss out, they will still need plenty of luck - or more preciseley, the absence of bad luck.
Ah the big question, I expect it to be a close physical game but if NZ gets an early lead they will be hard to chase down and it could be a blow out. Penalties will be crucial and I expect both teams to try and play a fast game especially around the breakdown to minimise the effect of each teams back row.
5. Final score
Either something sensible like NZ 37-19 Australia, or a squeeky 2 point difference for whichever team wins a scrum penalty in last 2 minutes.
Even though the All Blacks are outright favourites I'm backing the Aussies to win by 4 points, 22-18. Fingers Crossed!
6. A short message from Aussie to Kiwi/Kiwi to Aussie
Good luck and may the best team on the day win. No matter the score I'm looking forward to having a beer after what will hopefully be a cracking game. Many of my Kiwi friends are taking out safety bets on Australia so that if the All Blacks lose at least they get some comfort money ;)